> Waymo has proven driverless operations in Chandler, then Downtown Phoenix, then San Francisco.
And how many years did that take. Are they adding profitable operations in new cities year after year, with every year adding new cities?
As far as I can see they simply lose billion and billions of $ for no real success in actually having a product.
Tesla is actually using the technology to improve its Level 2 systems and make money with it.
> meanwhile Tesla has yet to prove N
First of all, Waymo has not proven N, because they don't make money on any of these things.
Tesla at least try to drive in N+10000000 other cases and navigate many of them without seeing them first.
If you have to go one by one threw every single city in the world its not clear to me that this is a better approach then solving a more general problem.
> reduced their chances at achieving N due to cost cutting measures
Tesla just made 3 billion $ of profit in a quarter. What cost cutting? They are currently doing major investments in upgraded sensors suits, upgraded data-centers and overall their team is still growing.
Just because Tesla is profitable and making money by selling vehicles does not mean they are on a better path to engineering a self driving system than Waymo.
The opposite is also true, just because Waymo does not make money does not reflect the capability of their self driving systems. Saying "Waymo has not proven N, because they don't make money on any of these things." doesn't make any sense, and is not even true.
I can go to downtown Phoenix right now and request (and pay for) a fully self-driving ride from point A to point B. Teslas can not reliably complete any self driving route without any disengagements.
We are discussing who is closer to realizing a fully self-driving system, not who runs a better business.
> Just because Tesla is profitable and making money by selling vehicles does not mean they are on a better path to engineering a self driving system than Waymo.
That not what I said, what it means it has more staying power.
> doesn't make any sense, and is not even true
What data are you basing this on? Are any of their operations profitable? If they are, why are they not expanding those operations to make more profit?
> I can go to downtown Phoenix right now and request (and pay for) a fully self-driving ride from point A to point B. Teslas can not reliably complete any self driving route without any disengagements.
Yeah, but Tesla didn't spend 7 years only focusing on Phoenix, so using that as a comparison is just dishonest.
You are stacking the field in favor of what you want the winner to be.
Here is my proposal for a more fair test on who is actually 'winning' self driving:
"You take a car, and put it on any random road anywhere in the world, how well can it navigate to any other random road in the world"
How well does Waymo do on that test? I would guess worse then Tesla.
That test is much closer to what it actually takes to really claim that self driving is 'solved'.
In my opinion neither are close to this and both will burn many more billions and many more years before getting there. So to just confidently claim Waymo is way ahead is nonsense in my opinion.
And how many years did that take. Are they adding profitable operations in new cities year after year, with every year adding new cities?
As far as I can see they simply lose billion and billions of $ for no real success in actually having a product.
Tesla is actually using the technology to improve its Level 2 systems and make money with it.
> meanwhile Tesla has yet to prove N
First of all, Waymo has not proven N, because they don't make money on any of these things.
Tesla at least try to drive in N+10000000 other cases and navigate many of them without seeing them first.
If you have to go one by one threw every single city in the world its not clear to me that this is a better approach then solving a more general problem.
> reduced their chances at achieving N due to cost cutting measures
Tesla just made 3 billion $ of profit in a quarter. What cost cutting? They are currently doing major investments in upgraded sensors suits, upgraded data-centers and overall their team is still growing.
How much did Waymo make again?