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> US can't afford to field the navy necessary to back this ams hasn't been able to for many decades

This is nonsense. The U.S. Navy de facto guarantees freedom of navigation today. Globally.

If we switched to a national system, our Navy wouldn’t literally escort U.S.-flagged ships. Its military would just need to enforce the threat that you get bombed if you fuck with America.

We’d save money switching to a big-stick model. (I think we’d be poorer for it in the long run. But if you’re playing chess and your opponent machete, you’re not going to find any winning moves on the board.)



> Its military would just need to enforce the threat that you get bombed if you fuck with America.

Panting a Russian flag on the side of a crappy tanker is enough to get the US to back off.

Russia can do what it likes with current US leadership.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/31/us/politics/russia-oil-ta...


> Panting a Russian flag on the side of a crappy tanker is enough to get the US to back off

Has the White House rolled over?


Oil tankers are basically "weapons of mass environment destruction" (slight hyperbole, sorry ;). When you shoot at them, or their captains have the valves opened, their oil will devastate a sizable chunk of sea and coastline.

So you really need to tread lightly around enemy oil tankers.


> Oil tankers are basically "weapons of mass environment destruction"

Which is why you sink them empty. Ukraine has been doing this for months now.


I can’t see any update that says they have engaged.

So yes… I think.


> can’t see any update that says they have engaged. So yes… I think.

I wouldn't be suprised if Trump chickens out. But this logic is terrible.

The same pursuit that has been happening for days continues to happen. That the pattern has not changed in reaction to new stimulus isn't proof that the stimulus worked.


Just stumbled on the below link - Russia has directly asked the US to leave the ship alone. It’s going to be hard to duck this one.

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/01/us/politics/russia-oil-ta...


> Russia has directly asked the US to leave the ship alone

Yes. I am aware. Flags are being painted, registries updated and sternely-worded letters sent. The ship sails on. So do its pursuers.

> It’s going to be hard to duck this one

It really shouldn't be.

Just board the ship. Putin makes noises about international law. A D.C. lawyer insists that no, the vessel was stateless when found. And assuming there isn't like fissile material or a senior IRGC liaison on board, everyone grumbles and moves on.

Trump and Putin have a complicated relationship. But about the single thing that this will not depend on will be what maritime law says the U.S. should do. (And I think the legal arguments for seizure are on America's side on this one.)


Well, I got it wrong. The US has seized the ship.

https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/world/583459/us-seizes-venezuela-...


> The U.S. Navy de facto guarantees freedom of navigation today.

How is this working for the gulf of aden? Go to sleep grandpa, we can take it from here


> How is this working for the gulf of aden?

You’re really claiming the U.S. military cannot stop the Houthi attacks?

The administration’s position is this is Europe’s problem [1]. It’s literally part of America retreating from that historic guarantee.

(That said, the simplest response would be to give the Saudis a weapons deal to secure the coasts. You have to blow up the ports, which will trigger a humanitarian disaster.)

[1] https://www.axios.com/2025/03/26/vance-anti-europe-obsession


> You’re really claiming the U.S. military cannot stop the Houthi attacks?

Yes, absolutely we cannot. Everytime we drive by we roll the dice with hundreds of lives.

And stop reading western propaganda! It's bad for you.

> That said, the simplest response would be to give the Saudis a weapons deal to secure the coasts. You have to blow up the ports, which will trigger a humanitarian disaster.

The saudis have BEEN a humanitarian disaster for longer than either of us have been alive.




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